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PostPosted: Mon Mar 17, 2014 2:00 pm 
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I'm bringing this thread back to life...

I'm going to be revisiting and consolidating this post and wanted to re-check my numbers. The numbers seemed large when I first calculated them a few years ago, but after doing some more research I have found that there was an error in my math. At the time there was something about my calculations that I felt was missing and that the whole story wasn't really being told. I found some statistics from the World Bank on container traffic that made everything fall into place.

Rather than go into all the detail now, the short of it is that there was a slight flaw in my methodology and the source number of TEUs was calculated based on a simple division of mass by what one TEU would hold. That didn't take into consideration how intermodal (container) shipping actually works. I found how many containers were actually moved by the ports of every country (these are established ports, not a pier where a few TEU containers might be loaded on a lighter for coastal jaunts) and my numbers are off by quite a bit.

I stated in the first post that about 326 million containers were shipped in 2010...the number is actually much higher. By about a magnitude; 3.56 billion containers moved through the ports. Now, that's each time the container was touched, so a more realistic number would be about half that, or 1.78 billion containers... I'm going to keep digging into this, but it certainly will change some things and actually solve a problem that I had after calculating the cargo volumes on the large ships I've commissioned - are they economically viable?

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PostPosted: Mon Mar 17, 2014 8:45 pm 
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Humans are almost as bad as cockroaches. If there was enough of caprice left for skinjobs to walk around on, there would be a percentage of humans that survive. Even if a nuclear winter claimed half of the remaining survivors there would be plenty around to rebuild later. Lets not forget the secret bases and stations that only a select few have the locations like the cold war DEW line only a few generals knew where they were and what was really there.


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PostPosted: Mon Mar 17, 2014 9:38 pm 
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Huh? What does this have to do with commerce in the Colonial Sphere?

As for the DEW Line, the Soviets knew the location of each and every base given that they were active radar stations...

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Click the link to read Lady Hecate off line in PDF, .epub, or Kindle formats: http://www.bsg94.org/downloads/index.html
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PostPosted: Mon Mar 29, 2021 11:09 am 
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This is back from the dead!

Figured I'd post this here for reference...it's a chart of the largest *container* shipping companies showing their lift capacity in TEU (a 20' container) and the number of ships they have. This is for a planet with ~7billion population where perhaps 3billion or less consume the goods shipped that way. Now, imagine a mature Colonial sphere with 12 worlds, 29-53 billion inhabitants in Cyrannus (depending on which source you use, this number varies) and I think the original numbers I used aren't that far off.

https://www.statista.com/chart/24532/co ... -315122593

Kurt

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Click the link to read Lady Hecate off line in PDF, .epub, or Kindle formats: http://www.bsg94.org/downloads/index.html
Click here for the Colonial Warbook for Lady H: http://www.photobucket.com/colonial_warbook


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PostPosted: Tue Mar 30, 2021 6:16 am 
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Very interesting.


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PostPosted: Sat Apr 03, 2021 3:12 am 
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kfeltenberger wrote:
This is back from the dead!

Figured I'd post this here for reference...it's a chart of the largest *container* shipping companies showing their lift capacity in TEU (a 20' container) and the number of ships they have. This is for a planet with ~7billion population where perhaps 3billion or less consume the goods shipped that way. Now, imagine a mature Colonial sphere with 12 worlds, 29-53 billion inhabitants in Cyrannus (depending on which source you use, this number varies) and I think the original numbers I used aren't that far off.

https://www.statista.com/chart/24532/co ... -315122593

Kurt

:D

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Let this be the hour when we draw swords together.
Fell deeds awake.
Now for wrath,
now for ruin,
and the red dawn.
Forth, Eorlingas!


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